Buc 'Em: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Sports blogs for fans, by fans.
Around SBN: Follow the @sbnation MLB Twitter List

Why anyone's (even the "Pros") predictions are worthless


Bryant

Sure, you can go ahead and try.

Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss.

Or, Win, Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Win

Or, Win, Win, Win, Loss, Win Win...

Go ahead, shake em up any way you want. You have that much better chance to be accurate in your prediction as the so called experts.

Why? Because most of the periodicals your going to read over the next couple of months will basically be just a copy of what happened last year. Go ahead, take out their predictions and put them up against last years results. Not much difference is there?

Where is the surprise Arizona Cardinals?

Where is the surprise Jacksonville Jaguars? Or Seattle? (well I said they would fall, but I said that the year before too!"

You wont find them, because no one is willing to take a chance by sticking their neck out and saying something that sounds as equally ridongculous as saying that the Detroit Lions will go to the playoffs next year....because that's what Miami did basically in 2008. 

However, it is possible to accurately predict the future. All you have to do is accurately predict all the variables...

1)Performance of those new free agents, some of which have not even been added to the team yet!

2)Performance of those new draft picks, and wether or not they have been put in a system that will take advantage of their strengths...

3)How tough IS that schedule? - Mark this in the I know that you know that I know column. Because you will have to! 

You will need to figure out if that tough schedule that everyone says your division teams have is really that tough because its based on last years records which are not the same as this years records so you have to see step 1 and then step two before you can go to step three and then go all through that all over again.... 

Got that? Ok ....so Here are the possibilities. Feel free to comment on which one YOU think will happen....

 

a)Leeman Bennett/ Ray Perkins days- 1-15 to 4-12- a disaster right from the get go. Never was a chance

b)Sam Wyche-esque season- 5-11 to 7-9 where the Bucs come out of the game 2-1 or 3-2 (or 5 dash 2) and then SLIDE...

c)Tony Dungy 1998 Trent Dilfer Special- 8-8: Break even year that may or may not have a streak or two on each side of the column.

d)John McKay 30 year anniversary 1979 re-deux - 10-6 - Playoff Win too ta Boot!

e)Jon Gruden 2002 Special- 11-5 or higher, with all the new players, yet everyone will say Raheem won the superbowl with Gruden's team for years to come.

You have a 20% chance of being right!

The person with the most accurate prediction gets to know there are people out there who actually make money doing this: and much less accurately I might add!


 

0 recs  |  Comment 0 comments |

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to Buc 'Em, SBNation's home of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Your one stop for Buccaneers info, videos, opinions and more.
Start posting about the Buccaneers »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Bucco_bruce_small
Week 9 Preview: Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Recent FanPosts

Stairs_small
History Says our Win will come in.....
Buclogo_small
Marcus Jones on TUF
Small
Bucs of Days Gone By
Small
Freeman's First Season?
Small
Draft 2010
Tampa_bay_buccaneers_primary_logo_small
Funny story about Michael Clayton
Small
My introduction!
Buclogo_small
Freeman's Future
Zorilla_small
A Historical Look at Kickers Drafted in Rds 1-3

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

Latest NFL Headlines from SB Nation

Stampede Blue
Saturday College Football- Open Thread
Bolts From The Blue
Saturday Speech with Coach Herman Boone
Gang Green Nation
John's Midseason Jets Awards

Twitter Feed


Editor & Lead Writers

1001_large_small Niko Houllis

Nfl_tampa_bay_buccaneers_1_small Buc Wild

Tampa_bay_buccaneers_primary_logo_small Paul Mueller

Assistant Writers

Bucco_bruce_small Craig T

Stairs_small UNFNOLE

Buclogo_small LeeCaz

218px-tampa_bay_buccaneers_logo bucsfandave