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Buc'Em Week 13 Fantasy Football Review


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It's time to get down to it.  Week 13.  Final regular-season week for many standard league formats.  Since there's a game tonight on the NFL Network, we're getting started with our review a little early this week.  As usual, start your Chris Johnsons, Peyton Mannings, Larry Fitzgeralds, other must-start, #1 options.  We're looking at some options for your 2nd/3rd/flex spots, which could be the difference in victory and defeat, and possibly playoffs or no playoffs. If you have any specific lineup questions, fire away and we'll give you our thoughts.


QUARTERBACKS TO START

1. Donovan McNabb @ ATL.  Even without DJax, McNabb will do what the Bucs didn't quite do enough of last week...hit big plays in the passing game. 

Star-divide

2. Philip Rivers @ CLE.  They are steamrolling towards the playoffs and Rivers looks unstoppable.  Poor Browns are the next sacrificial lamb.

3. Tony Romo @ NYG.  Remembered that Miles Austin is virtually uncoverable one-on-one, and just in time to face accomodating NYG secondary.

Sleeper: Kyle Orton @ KC.   Last 2 QBs to face Chiefs were Roethlisberger (398 yds, 3 TDs) and Philip Rivers (317 yds, 2 TDs).  Forget Denver's luck @ KC...Orton, who practiced in full today, has a good look at putting up some solid numbers.

QUARTERBACKS TO SIT

1. Joe Flacco @ GB.  Packers finally starting to generate pressure and CB Charles Woodson is playing out of his mind right now and will make life tough on Flacco's main guy, Derrick Mason.

2. Eli Manning vs. DAL.  Even though Eli has 16 TD passes in last 8 games against the Cowboys, Dallas D is playing well right now and is actually the 2nd ranked scoring defense in the NFL. 

3. Carson Palmer vs. DET.  ****Grrrrr, you idiot, it's the Lions!  Indeed, but the Bengals ran the ball more than the '42 Fighting Irish last Sunday and Palmer put up a stinker against a bad defense.  Again, this is about picking options that both combine the lowest-risk plays with the biggest upsides.  Palmer has upside indeed and may be worth a consideration if you're facing a guy like Manning and need to swing for the fences, but otherwise if you're choosing between Palmer and a less risky play and can afford to sit Palmer, consider the alternative strongly.

RUNNING BACKS TO START

1. Laurence Maroney @ MIA.  Maroney has established himself as the premiere featured back in the New England backfield, getting the bulk of the frequent red zone opportunities the Patriot offense provides him.  Facing a Dolphin defense that is vulnerable to New England passing attack, meaning Maroney should get multiple red zone/goal line opportunities.

2. Rashard Mendenhall vs. OAK.  Raiders can't jam box with Big Ben expected to play, giving Mendenhall room to put up RB1 fantasy numbers this week.

3. Matt Forte vs. STL.  Forsett ran hog wild last week on the Rams, and Bears will turn to run to avoid the inevitable turnovers that seem to come when Cutler releases the ball from his hand. 

Sleeper: Jonathan Stewart vs. TB.  Ran for over 100 yds and a TD in Week 6 win at Tampa Bay.  With Delhomme out, Panthers likely to continue heavy focus on running the ball, to the benefit of Williams and Stewart, the latter of whom is a decent low-end RB2 and solid flex play.

RUNNING BACKS TO SIT

1.  Justin Forsett vs. SF.  I say this MAINLY because Julius Jones (lung) practiced in full today and has been upgraded to probable, making him likely to play and possibly start on Sunday.  Keep an ear open for what Mora says this week, but he's done nothing to keep us from thinking Jones won't take back his starting gig.  If you need a solid performance from your RB2 this week, playing Forsett is a huge gamble at this time. 

2. Ryan Grant vs. BAL.  Ravens defense is starting to turn the corner and Packer offensive line is difficult to gauge.  If you have backup option, consider it.

3. Tim Hightower vs. MIN.  Battling thumb injury, split with Wells, and the Minny front 7.  Pass.

WIDE RECEIVERS TO START

1. Miles Austin @ NYG.  Reestablished himself last week as THE MAN in the Cowboy passing game.  He can catch a short pass and make a big play; blaze a corner on a go route, or make the tough catch up high or over the middle.  Romo should look his way plenty on Sunday.

2. Sidney Rice @  ARI.  6 catches for 89 yards is a down week?  That oughta tell you how the cat's doing lately.....well.  He's getting a ton of targets from the red-hot Brett Favre, so don't even think about benching him. 

3. Jason Avant @ ATL.  Has stepped up as a productive fantasy receiver the past 3 weeks, even with DJax active.  With DJax stating he's unlikely to play, look for Avant's role to increase substantially this week.  Maclin a solid play, too.

Sleeper: Robert Meachem @ WAS.  Emerging as a trusted, reliable second option for Brees...should get plenty of secondary looks in Brees' progression as WAS DBs work to shut down Colston and Henderson.

WIDE RECEIVERS TO SIT

1. Steve Smith vs. TB.  With Delhomme out and TB statistically being accomodating to opposing rushers, Smith could be in line for a bust of a game, so if you have better options, consider them.  If you don't and have to roll with him, take solace that hey, QB Matt Moore can't underutilize his WR weapon any more than Delhomme has!!! (he might even target Smith more, but like I said, he's a risk). 

2. Derrick Mason vs. GB.  He will be covered by the certain-to-be-2009-All-Pro Charles Woodson and Flacco should see some pressure from Green Bay's active front 7.  Also, the BAL running game will likely again be featured. 

3. Donnie Avery @  CHI.  Kyle Boller stinks. 

TIGHT ENDS TO START

1. Visanthe Shiancoe @ ARI.  Brett's red zone puppet scored again last week...they are clearly on the same page as of late.

2. Brent Celek @ ARI.  Yea, he's hurt, but he should go and would be a matchup nightmare for the pass-happy Eagles against the overmanned Falcon secondary.

3. Kevin Boss vs. DAL.  Cowboys bringing heavy pressure lately, so Manning will likely drop off short passes often to his new favorite target, the Bossman.

Sleeper: Heath Miller @ PIT.  Big Ben likes to look his way in play action and in near the goal line.  Big Ben is back, so Miller is in line for a decent, if not solid game.

TIGHT ENDS TO SIT

1. Fred Davis vs. NO.  Saints defense doing a nice job on opposing TEs. 

2. Ben Watson @ MIA.  Not getting enough targets lately to justify using.

3. Tony Scheffler @ KC.  Even though KC gives up yards in droves through the air, Scheffler not getting many targets from Orton.  When 4 catches for 53 yards is a pretty good game, that's saying something.

DEFENSES TO START

1. Chargers @ CLE.

2. Saints @ WAS.

3. Bengals vs. DET.

DEFENSES TO SIT

1. Cardinals vs. MIN.

2. Giants vs. DAL.

3. Ravens v@ GB.

0 recs  |  Comment 21 comments

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I have had to mix and match my second RB all year, and this week is no different.

I have 5 RB options for 1 spot:

Bush, Sproles, Buckhalter, Cartwright, Chester Taylor.

Bush has been my main starter (in a points per reception league) and the Washington match up looks favorable. Any reason to give the other 4 a look?

Also, depending on Roethlisbergers situation I could start Mike Wallace instead of Austin Collie. I’m a bit hesitant with Ward also starting on my team but starting 2 WR could negate the Nnamdi Asomugha factor. Another consideration would be Mark Clayton. He had a big game last week and should face the second CB.

by kurby on Dec 3, 2009 12:18 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I would put in Cartwright.

With Portis out, he’s the workhorse in the backfield. Bush is worth holding on to if we see the Saints start resting their players if they clinch homefield advantage, same goes with Chester Taylor. As for everyone else, they are all the number 2 on their depth charts.

by rjblitz02 on Dec 5, 2009 12:16 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Also, for your defenses to start

TB @ Carolina. Any chance to play Jake “Picks” Delhomme has to be considered. My league doesn’t use points against which could be a deterrent if yours does.

by kurby on Dec 3, 2009 12:20 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I believe that Delhomme is out

and young gun Matt Moore is getting the start for Carolina. I could be mistaken though.

"Three or four plane crashes and we're in the playoffs" - John McKay

by LeeCaz on Dec 3, 2009 12:37 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

You're correct.

Delhomme is out, Moore is in.

Signature space available for rent - Got to pay the bills somehow

by Buc Wild on Dec 3, 2009 12:45 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Don't know much about this Matt Moore fellow.

Could still be a good play with an inexperienced QB and a “slightly” rejuvenated defense.

by kurby on Dec 3, 2009 12:55 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think there could be sleeper value,

especially if the Bucs’ D can generate pressure like last week. Keep in mind though, ATL had 2 O-linemen on the shelf last week and Carolina’s line is much better.

Cannons... fire them.

www.BucEm.com - SBNation's home for discussion of all things regarding the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

by Craig T on Dec 3, 2009 12:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

And Carolina has two healthy running backs

as opposed to one gimpy one (though Norwood is nothing to sneeze at) and they DESTROYED us on the ground last time.

Which brings me to a side point. If the Bucs don’t put 8 in the box on every play and dare Matt Moore to beat us, I give up. They killed us on the ground last time. Defend their strength, make them beat us another way. If Matt Moore throws for 300 yards and 2 TD, then so be it, we lost. But I refuse to lose ANOTHER game to Carolina because we refuse to game plan against their strength.

Signature space available for rent - Got to pay the bills somehow

by Buc Wild on Dec 3, 2009 1:39 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

If it doesn't,

then Bucs’ D has sleeper value, but not top 7-8 value.

Cannons... fire them.

www.BucEm.com - SBNation's home for discussion of all things regarding the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

by Craig T on Dec 3, 2009 12:55 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Hey Craig T

Did you hear the press coverage about Chad Ocho Cinco running his mouth that the Bengals are going to throw the ball a lot this week because of Detroit’s horrible pass defense. He said they might throw it 50+ times. Although that number is ridiculous, do you think Ocho Cinco is a more solid flex start than Steve Slaton?

Keep in mind that Ocho Cinco has been a disappearing act for the past two or three weeks.

"Three or four plane crashes and we're in the playoffs" - John McKay

by LeeCaz on Dec 3, 2009 12:39 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Ocho Cinco didnt say they would throw 50+ times

He said he wanted to throw it 50+ times.

Signature space available for rent - Got to pay the bills somehow

by Buc Wild on Dec 3, 2009 12:46 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Exactly.

If memory serves, the Bengals are one of few teams this season to run the ball more than they throw it, so consider the history of what the Bengals have done, not what 85 says.

Cannons... fire them.

www.BucEm.com - SBNation's home for discussion of all things regarding the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

by Craig T on Dec 3, 2009 12:50 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

That's not an easy one, IMO.

Slaton got, I think, 17 touches last week, so he is a decent flex play. I think 85 has more upside if you need a big number out of your flex, but Slaton should get more touches against a Jacksonville defense that isn’t all that special…making him the less risky pick than 85 (as odd as that is to say). Cincy has categorically run the ball this year and that might not change this week despite 85’s demands.

Cannons... fire them.

www.BucEm.com - SBNation's home for discussion of all things regarding the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

by Craig T on Dec 3, 2009 12:54 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, it is a tough one.

I think I’m going to go with Thomas Jones as RB1, Rock Cartwright as RB2, Slaton as my Flex, Randy Moss as WR1, Sims-Walker as WR2.

How pissed am I that I am considering benching my first round draft pick as a flex? What a disappointment.

"Three or four plane crashes and we're in the playoffs" - John McKay

by LeeCaz on Dec 3, 2009 1:43 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Cartwright as RB2...

What options are on your waiver wire?

Cannons... fire them.

www.BucEm.com - SBNation's home for discussion of all things regarding the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

by Craig T on Dec 3, 2009 1:56 PM EST via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

Not anything too exciting

Chris Jennings, Jerome Harrison, Kevin Faulk, Buckhalter, Michael Bush, Derrick Ward, Willie Parker.

My bench is McFadden, Donald Brown (who should be dropped but I haven’t had anyone to replace him with), Bernard Scott.

Pretty slim pickings for a 12 man league.

"Three or four plane crashes and we're in the playoffs" - John McKay

by LeeCaz on Dec 3, 2009 3:45 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Looking for some feedback. Have to start 2 of the 3

C. Benson vs Detroit
R. Mendenhall vs Oakland
S. Jackson vs Chicago.

Benson has been a must start almost all year. Same with Steven Jackson (how this guy gets his yards and scores on that crappy team is beyond me). Mendenhall going against an awful Oak run defense.

Also, pick 3 of these 4 at WR/TE

V. Davis @ Seattle
S. Smith (NYG) vs Dallas
Ochocinco vs Detroit
G. Jennings vs Balt.

Normally I don’t roll with TE’s, but Davis has been so good while S Smith and Jennings have slowed down. I kinda feel like Chad will get his yards after complaining this week.

Signature space available for rent - Got to pay the bills somehow

by Buc Wild on Dec 3, 2009 1:55 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Wow

Aren’t you stacked? Not the easiest of choices…keep an eye on SJax…not expected to practice much, if at all, and could be a GTD. I’d… Geh… Probably go with Mendenhall and SJax. I hate sitting Benson, but with LJ in the mix and SJax continuing to get so many touches and all goalline carries, I can’t see sitting Jackson if he’s playing. Mendenhall and SJax.

I’d probably sit Smith out of the 2nd bunch.

Cannons... fire them.

www.BucEm.com - SBNation's home for discussion of all things regarding the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

by Craig T on Dec 3, 2009 2:19 PM EST via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

This week doesn't matter too much for me.

Just seeding before playoffs start next year. I can only move up or down one spot so I’m not too worried.

Signature space available for rent - Got to pay the bills somehow

by Buc Wild on Dec 3, 2009 3:51 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

A quick TE question

I saw you had Scheffler on the sit em list (I’m still coming to terms with the trade raping I got in trading LeSean McCoy for him after Cooley went down). My other options are Anthony Fasano(whom I just picked up) or Marcedes Lewis (who is on the waiver wire). Who would you recommend?

"Three or four plane crashes and we're in the playoffs" - John McKay

by LeeCaz on Dec 3, 2009 4:10 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I'd recommend a swift punch to your face for trading Shady for Scheffler

Signature space available for rent - Got to pay the bills somehow

by Buc Wild on Dec 3, 2009 6:01 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

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