Bucs could be in line for second straight win Sunday
It’s easy to ride the emotional high from a fourth-quarter comeback. It’s painless to lean on optimism and say the Buccaneers are on to something. But it’s naive to simply pencil in a "W" as the Bucs travel to Miami on Sunday.
But it’s certainly not out of the question.
While there’s still a lot to learn about Josh Freeman and the Buccaneers, we know who the Dolphins are. They’re a tough, physical defense and a tricky, Wildcat running machine with playmakers in the backfield in Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams. They’re explosive on special teams, allowing people to forget how inept Ted Ginn Jr. is at the receiver position when he’s taking kicks back to the house.
And they’re banged-up.
While I’m not suggesting Freeman and the supporting cast are in the same class as Brady and Co., the Dolphins’ 28th-ranked pass defense is a favorable match-up for the young offensive unit.
Advantage No. 2: The Dolphin defense is ranked 5th against the run. Well, that seems like a disadvantage, doesn’t it? However, last week, against another stout run defense, the Bucs were able to run the ball just enough (81 yards) to keep the Packers honest, which is what they will have to do this week to achieve the same results. The Bucs average under 100 yards per game rushing, but to open up the passing game, they likely won’t need that much.
Advantage No. 3: The Dolphins lack playmakers at the receiver position. Ginn is among the league-leaders in dropped passes and Anthony Fasano, once a favorite target of Chad Pennington, has been practically non-existent. With the Bucs’ secondary vulnerable to big plays, particularly early in the game, Chad Henne's difficulty finding open receivers down the field plays to the Bucs' strength.
Disadvantages: The Dolphins have the 4th-ranked rushing offense in the league, tallying over 150 yards per game. The Bucs, on the other hand, are ranked 30th in rushing defense, allowing 163 yards per game - a glaring mismatch.
Additionally, Freeman is still a rookie, and there’s no telling how he will respond coming off his first career win. The Dolphins are 2-0 this season against rookie quarterbacks. Or, quaerterback, I should say, as they’ve defeated Mark Sanchez and the Jets twice.
While only 3-5, the Dolphins have lost to five teams that will likely make the playoffs: the Patriots, Colts, Chargers, Falcons and Saints. Contrarily, they’ve failed to defeat a team outside of their division this season and are 0-2 against NFC South opponents.
Last week I wrote an article highlighting Week 10 against the Dolphins as one of the best chances for the Bucs to get their first win. With one already under their belt, I still feel it’s a good mactch-up for them to grab their second.
Prediction: Buccaneers 30, Dolphins 21.
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9 comments
Comments
I appreciate that you checked most homer-ism throughout this post
But I find it highly improbable that you will beat Miami. It’s not like we got blown out by N.O., Indy, N.E. or S.D. Phins hung tough against some good units, and led them throughout the game. But the difference (one of many) between those groups and Tampa is that Tampa can hardly consider themselves a team that finishes games. Expect Miami to get out in front as usual, and expect their defense to relent as usual, but don’t kid yourself into thinking that Tampa will dig themselves out of a 14-point (at least, not this week). You guys got some pretty lucky breaks through your special teams.
Head Weatherman/ Injury Specialist of the Phinsider.
Bender: Who wants dolphin? Leela: Dolphin? But dolphins are intelligent. Bender: Not this one. He blew all his money on instant lottery tickets.
by Farorefox on Nov 13, 2009 6:11 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Thanks for not showing any "homer-ism" in your reply........
You do realize the Dolphins are one of the few teams worse agains the pass than the Bucs correc? And that the Bucs running attack is very underrated and can easily do enough to at least keep Miami Honest…
by RuudAwakening on Nov 13, 2009 7:18 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I think considering Peyton, Rivers, Brady, Brees
and rookie corners/horrific safeties, that we’ve actually done fairly decent against the pass. And I don’t know what to expect from your run game. They should be good at running team, but your numbers don’t show it. I’m curious whether or not it is a coaching malfunction. You guys probably could win more games if you took the same approach that the Titans have the last 2 games.
Head Weatherman/ Injury Specialist of the Phinsider.
Bender: Who wants dolphin? Leela: Dolphin? But dolphins are intelligent. Bender: Not this one. He blew all his money on instant lottery tickets.
by Farorefox on Nov 13, 2009 7:44 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Farorefox is right.
Weighted against the teams they have played, they are 20th in the league against the pass. However, things do change a bit with the young corners…as anything can happen.
However, our WR aren’t exactly going to be turning heads.
"I have come that you may have life, and life to the max"
by UNFNOLE on Nov 13, 2009 9:38 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I wasnt aware having good special teams units makes you lucky.
Will the NY Jets please stop wearing those Titans uniforms. For a team that was only around for one year, Ive seen those uniforms 5 times already!
by Niko Houllis on Nov 14, 2009 7:25 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Hey, we got some lucky breaks throughout the Jets game
Head Weatherman/ Injury Specialist of the Phinsider.
Bender: Who wants dolphin? Leela: Dolphin? But dolphins are intelligent. Bender: Not this one. He blew all his money on instant lottery tickets.
Long you live and high you fly. But only if you ride the tide. And balanced on the biggest wave, you race towards an early grave.
by Farorefox on Nov 14, 2009 9:31 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Get over yourselves....
Yeah we know the Bucs one their first game last week. But who do you guys think you are now? Miami is still a legit good team. The teams they lost too are probably making the playoffs, Indy, Pats, Saints, Chargers, ATL. And last week againist the Pats, our rookie corners didnt get burned that bad. They did a good job covering Moss accept for 1 or 2 mistakes that costed them big chunks of yardage. Other then that, they did a good job. The rookies what do you expect. Be seriously the Bucs dont have a good enough team to beat a physcial team like Miami. Green Bay I believe isnt that good of a team. Their QB is average at best, and their running game is just not there. The Bucs got some lucky breaks in there also. But when it comes down to it, can they last on the field againist Ronnie and Ricky?. I didnt mean to come off as a jerk here by the way. Sorry
by Dfinz4lif3 on Nov 14, 2009 1:46 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
You mastery of the English language is second only to your over-reacting to our excitement following our first win.
I guess one of us is going to have some fun on the other site around 4 PM
Josh Freeman- Hall Of Fame class of 2031
by Niko Houllis on Nov 15, 2009 9:04 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Our offence is a tough and physical
It doesnt matter that only two teams held them to under 10. I dont even know why you brought that up. The Fins should be getting more respect that they deserve. No one thought they were gunna win the division last we but they did. No one thought they would beat the Jets and their new tough defence. But we did, twice!. No one thought we could hang with the big teams but we did with the saints and colts. The Bucs lets face it are a joke right now. And its embrassing that the Dolphins get even get respect againist a team like the Bucs. What a shame.
by Dfinz4lif3 on Nov 14, 2009 5:15 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

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