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Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2010 1st Round Draft Preview: First Half Edition.

If the season were to end today, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers would have the first overall pick for the first time since taking Vinny Testaverde out of the University of Miami in 1987. Needless to say, having the first overall pick is a blessing and a burden. The blessing is (depending on your selection) the Bucs will have an immediate impact player on either side of the ball. The burden is the financial obligations that come into play with the first overall pick (not to mention the agony of being the worst team in the NFL) as well as the high risk for making an unwise selection.

More than any other sport, the first overall pick in the NFL draft is the most risk/reward decision a franchise can make. Teams can either be propelled into success like the New York Jets, who selected Keyshawn Johnson out of USC number one overall after going 1-15. The next year, they were 9-7 and the year after 12-4. Or your team can sink lower like the Cleveland Browns after selecting Tim Couch number one overall over Donovan McNabb (for the record that Cleveland Browns team would go from 2-14 to 3-13 and 7-9 afterwards). Note: Obviously neither Couch or Johnson alone made either of these teams win I'm just trying to prove a point that first overall selections can make an impact.

Star-divide

In this post I'm going to take a look at three possible targets for the Buccaneers in the number one spot. Naturally, every player is available at number one so I'm going to try to limit the possible selections to three in order to avoid carpal tunnel syndrome. With the first overall selection in the 2010 NFL Draft, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (could) select....

 

Target #1) Eric Berry* - S - Tennessee - Running a 4.40 40, Berry is listed at around 5-11, 203 lbs. Eric Berry is a Ed Reed 2.0. With 215 career tackles, 2 forced fumbles and 13 career interceptions, Eric Berry is the top defensive back in this years draft and will be a premier player in the NFL. Playing under defensive coordinator Monte Kiffin for one season, the Bucs should be able to get good information from former defensive guru Kiffin about Berry. Berry most likely will not be available past the 5th spot.

Why the Bucs should target him: With Jermaine Phillips' glass-like forearms and his impending free agency this year, the Bucs are going to have a spot open at starting safety alongside Tanard Jackson. Assuming the oft-injured Phillips is gone, the Bucs could turn to Sabby Piscatelli or Will Allen to fill the void. But with a future pro-bowler on the board, Berry could be too tempting.

Target #2) Ndamukong Suh - DT - Nebraska - Running a 5.02 40, Suh is listed at around 6-4, 302 lbs. Ndamukong Suh is a big boy in the middle. With 16 career sacks and 169 career tackles, Suh is the top defensive tackle in this years draft. Suh can be a run-stuffer as well as a sack finder. He's not quite the sacking ghost of Warren Sapp but the quarterback isn't the foreign object that Chris Hovan seems to think it is. Suh could be available within the top 15 spots.

Why the Bucs should target him: Can anyone disagree that we need defensive line help? Chris Hovan is 31 and not getting any better and Ryan Sims isn't as good as Hovan. Dre Moore and Roy Miller are young and should be cycled at best for the time being. As of the half way point, the Bucs rank 29th in rushing yards allowed. Suh would provide an almost immediate impact against the run as well as the pass.

Target #3) Carlos Dunlap* - DE - Florida - Running a 4.78 40, Dunlap is a listed at around 6-6, 290 lbs. Carlos Dunlap is a linebacker stuck in a lineman's body. With 65 career tackes and 16 career sacks, Dunlap can be a game changer. Dunlap is, however somewhat of a mystery. He has all the potential to become an elite playmaker on defense but seems to take plays off at times. He'll be a monster one game and invisible the next. Still, Dunlap could be an interesting selection if taken. Possibly more suited for the 3-4 scheme, Dunlap could be more of a product of his surroundings (most notably fellow Gator DE Jermaine Cunningham) than an individual playmaker. Dunlap should be available in the top 10 picks.

Why the Bucs should target him: Again, defensive line help is a must in this draft. The Buccaneers simply must get to the quarterback and stop the run to be successful in 2010. Selecting Dunlap could help solve this problem. Again, personally I believe that Dunlap is more of a risk than a reward at this point. But we need DL help and we need it bad enough to take a chance. Drafting Dunlap number one overall isn't ideal. In fact, it's downright dumb. If Dunlap holds the red and pewter on draft day it will be after a trade-down or if the Bucs somehow end up with a 5-15th pick.

 

Outside of those three players, I would be hard pressed to believe the Bucs would take anyone else without trading down. Let's not kid ourselves, the Bucs have absolutely been pitiful on draft days under Bruce Allen and Jon Gruden and we need picks to make up for it. Poor drafting is why we are in the position we are. Since 2002, how many players that the Bucs have drafted have made a significant impact? How many if you take away day one picks where you're supposed to draft an impact player? Exactly. Trading down makes the most sense and it's what I see happening in April. Somebody (Cleveland, St. Louis, Seattle....) is going to want Sam Bradford or Eric Berry more than fat kids want cake and they will overpay to move up. We get extra picks and hopefully an impact player outside of the 1-5 range (where the money is too rich for the Glazers blood if you believe in that sort of thing). Now the following targets I'm going to assume the Bucs look at after a trade-down in position. Potentially, depending on the trade-down, the players listed above may still be available to which the Bucs would strongly consider them as well.

Target #4) Taylor Mays - S - USC

Why the Bucs should target him: For the same reasons as Eric Berry. Jermaine Phillips has the forearms of a 4 year old girl and is going to hit the free agent market. Mays is a big safety at 6-3, 235 lbs with a 4.47 40. Not the ball-hawk like Berry, Mays is a good cover safety with great tackle ability.

Target #5) Terrence Cody - DT - Alabama

Why the Bucs should target him: Defensive line help is a must. Terrence Cody is more of a safe pick over Ndamukong Suh. Slower but bigger, Cody is a mountain on the inside. May not get after the quarterback as much but he will instantly help the run defense. Hovan and Sims are average at best. Depth is questionable.

Target #6) Brandon Spikes - LB - Florida

Why the Bucs should target him: With Ruud in the center Spikes could be moved to the outside but not without some question. His 4.76 40 time may hinder his ability to move to OLB. If for some reason Ruud is no longer a Buccaneer, Spikes would be a great fit for Jim Bates system. Regardless of his position, Spikes is a very good tackler against the run and decent in coverage against the pass. With unproven linebackers in Quincy Black and Geno Hayes refusing to claim a stronghold a starting position, linebacker is stil a possibilty.

Of course there are a million different outcomes for draft day and you and I know about as much as anybody right now. In my opinion, if the Bucs aren't blown away by a trade-down offer they should take Eric Berry first overall. If the Bucs are able to trade down, either Suh or Cody would be optimal along with another defensive pick in the second round.

 

*Players in their Junior Year

Content provided by a member of Buc 'Em.

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Thank You for this excellent Piece that I am going to put on the front page.....

I think the Bucs NEED Suh, and would LOVE to have Berry. But Spikes is another must have primarily because of his leadership.

Will the NY Jets please stop wearing those Titans uniforms. For a team that was only around for one year, Ive seen those uniforms 5 times already!

by Niko Houllis on Nov 2, 2009 5:53 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

How can u not

Pick up eric berry. With him on board we would have a young DB and hope for the best in free agent for a DT. I wonder if berry could play DB he could be barbers replacement but I still belive barber have a little tank in him left. He would be a good add to the team

IF U AIN'T A BUC GET THE BUC OUT OF HERE

by WE GOING TO THE SHIP on Nov 2, 2009 7:08 AM EST via mobile reply actions   0 recs

Great analysis Eminence Front

Every player you listed above has been on my wish list as well. I’m in agreement with you that Berry would be the impact player we need to make an immediate difference and would most likely be capable of starting from Day one.

He is a little undersized for an NFL safety though. I’m concerned about possible injury. As good as Bob Sanders is, I wouldn’t want a player that is going to miss half the season due to injury. Berry hasn’t had a history of getting injured but he also hasn’t had a history of tackling 220 lb NFL running backs in the open field either. We don’t really have any way of knowing until he gets out there. I think he is worth the risk, but then again, I thought Tim Couch was gonna be the man so what do I know. Mays is pretty much the 2nd coming of Sean Taylor. He is huge and fast. I have even seen him going before Berry in a few mock drafts, but Berry’s coverage skills are far superior.

I think they will end up taking Suh, and I think the chance that he ends up being a bust like Gaines is about 50/50. He will hopefully immediately improve run defense as well as pass rushing, which makes him hard to turn away. As you said, it would be great if we could trade down and still get Cody, or maybe even McCoy. I like him a little better anyway.

If we are going to go DE with the first pick or moderate trade down I think I would prefer Greg Hardy from Ole Miss over Dunlap. He is a pretty complete pass rusher and I think he is going to be very successful in the NFL. I’m just a little scared to take a DE with any first round pick after Adams, especially a top 5 one.

You get what you pay for.

by LeeCaz on Nov 2, 2009 1:06 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Target #7

Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma. McCoy is a junior but is rated ahead of Suh by Scouts Inc.

"Is that right?" Joe answered. "That’s not a problem. But you’ve got a problem. You don’t relate to me. And that’s a big problem."

by dmoney350z on Nov 2, 2009 3:14 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Uhh

Arrelious Benn- Dez Bryant anyone- Carlos dunlap is having problems in his senior year.

T-Jack is back, J.J has went back to sucking, Bates won't blitz, Raheem's bored.

by Some other guy who does not care on Nov 2, 2009 4:45 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I think that they could get

Benn (who still hasn’t caught a receiving TD this season) with our first pick of the 2nd round. I would love to have either of those guys, but whomever the Head Coach/G.M. is next season is going to be hard pressed to warrant drafting offense in the first round.

If we are going to draft offense, I would like us to trade Freeman for a 2nd round pick and draft Jimmy Clausen #1 overall. haha. Now, I’m really dreaming.

You get what you pay for.

by LeeCaz on Nov 2, 2009 4:59 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Really?

I hate Notre Dame, but I think that Jimmy Clausen is the next Peyton Manning. I would love to have him as my QB.

Like I said above though, I thought Tim Couch was going to be the man, so what the hell do I know?

You get what you pay for.

by LeeCaz on Nov 2, 2009 6:09 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Ndamukong Suh just wrecked three cars !!

last night Suh was out at a party an after the party he swerved and hit one parked car, bounced off an hot another two parked cars !! he was drinking but under the legal limit. I think this guy is great but we already have a guy who cant drive a motorcycle and a fullback who got in a car wreck, with another just getting a dui . do we need another headache ??
ERIC BERRY number one pick , Tampa bay !!

by the420bucsfan on Nov 2, 2009 6:04 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

No one has ever taken a safety with the No. 1 pick, and I doubt they will.

Plus, this team addressed offense in 2009. defense will be addressed in 2010.

Will the NY Jets please stop wearing those Titans uniforms. For a team that was only around for one year, Ive seen those uniforms 5 times already!

by Niko Houllis on Nov 2, 2009 6:34 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

yea man,

i think you brought up the point in several posts, but it’s so right.
I’m still thinking we take Suh. I predict the Buccaneers cut Hovan. Honestly, it’s like Hovan is just ‘another body’ out there. He just plugs up the gap. No pressure. He’s just…there. haha,
hopefully Suh and Miller can grow up to be a good combo with White and Moore on the side? I believe those two both play at right end…?

by rjblitz02 on Nov 2, 2009 7:27 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Your probably right about Hovan, whose better days are behind him.

We’ve been lucky enough to catch him in time for his last good years, and he was great.
But he is not the same Hovan anymore, even though he still has a good motor, the body cant keep up with it I think.

I think Jimmy Wilkerson will be a starter on one end, but I think our defensive line in two years will probably be unreckognizable right now, except maybe Miller, Moore, one or both of those guys. I hear great things about MIller.

Will the NY Jets please stop wearing those Titans uniforms. For a team that was only around for one year, Ive seen those uniforms 5 times already!

by Niko Houllis on Nov 2, 2009 9:03 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

you are right

suh, probly is the wise number 1

by Hook85 on Nov 7, 2009 5:21 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I see the trend of picking defense......

which I understand. I would pick Berry if we traded down to 10-15 range. I know the pick wouldn’t be glamorous but i would select Russell Okung OT from Oklahoma St. Every team in the NFL needs a stud at LT. We could move Penn to RT. Then we can go defense with the two 2nd round picks and 3rd.

Richard Seymour is a Free Agent next season. Great Book-End with Wilkerson.

by buccanator on Nov 2, 2009 7:02 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Oh there is no doubt that one or two defensive linemen are going to have to come in from Free Agency, not just the draft.

This defense could be a lot more talented next season.

Keep in mind they stopped the Patriots on 5 drives in the first half last game. The titans gave up 7 TDs and 1 FG on 8 first half possessions.
Thats all lost in the 35-7 score, but the defense is improving. with more talent….

Will the NY Jets please stop wearing those Titans uniforms. For a team that was only around for one year, Ive seen those uniforms 5 times already!

by Niko Houllis on Nov 2, 2009 9:05 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs


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