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Buc 'Em NFL Predictions

Special Thanks to Cat Scratch Reader for their picks! Hope they get one wrong!

Screen_shot_2009-10-17_at_saturday__october_17__2009__8

 


Go past the Jump to read the how and why....

Star-divide

UNFNOLE

St. Louis at Jacksonville - The Rams played the Vikings tougher than expected (though the score didn't show it) and the Jags got embarrassed by an average Seahawks team. Home-Field may not matter much as this game is likely to be blacked out. As long as St. Louis can manage their turnovers against a defense that is in the Top 10 in Turnovers they should win this game. Most think St. Louis is the worst team in the league, but they will get their first win against Jacksonville.

Baltimore at Minnesota - This is a tough one to pick. Statistically both defenses are equal. Minnesotas offensive strength (passing game, 42% VOA success, 8th in the NFL) attacks Baltimores relative weakness (9th Pass Defense). I will hang my hat on that and say that the Vikes are able to squeak it out. While this is not for betting purposes, if you are a betting man I would steer clear of this game.

Detroit at Green Bay - I've been picking Detroit to win or come close to winning the past several weeks. I can't do that against Green Bay. The Lions have one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL. Aaron Rodgers should have a easy day and come away with the W.

Houston at Cincinnati - I like Cincinnati a lot. They are playing a solid game on both sides of the football. I thought Cincy may be good, but I had no idea that Cedric Benson would be doing what he is. He has been one of the most productive backs in the NFL (don't believe me? http://footballoutsiders.com/stats/rb). This doesn't bode well for a below average defense.

Cleveland at Pittsburgh - Here is my big (St. Louis is another) upset of the week. I try to pick one every week, because that's how the NFL goes. I don't have a lot in the way of logical reasoning here. It's a rivalry game. The Steelers are a terrible pass defense but a great run defense. If I'm Cleveland I am making Willie Parker beat me. Blitz Ben and lock up tight on their WR. It's a shot in the dark because most people think Pitt is on the verge of getting better, I just haven't seen it and will pick a big upset.

 

BUC WILD

CHIEFS at Washington - This game pretty much sums up my group of picks this week.  Just an awful match up. The Chiefs have shown some progress under Haley and I think they get win #1 this week.  The Redskins haven't played a team with a win yet (seriously).  They are under fire from the media, and people both inside and outside the organization.  This may be the final nail in Zorn's coffin.

Carolina at BUCS - Look, I don't feel proud of this pick.  This is blind optimism at it's best.  If we don't win now, I don't know when we do.  We get Faine back, and let's hope the ground game is churning.  Steve Smith should be good for at least one long catch.  Let's just move on. 

New York Giants at SAINTS - Any other week and I take the Giants.  But off the bye week with most of their backs healthy, I think the Saints win at home.  Potential playoff match up

CARDINALS at Seattle - Warner and company have to get going at some point, right?  The Seahawks looked impressive last week against the JV Jaguars.  Big home game for them if they want to return to the top of the NFC West.

EAGLES at Oakland - Did you really think I would take the Raiders?  Fun game in this one.  What's higher, the margin of victory for the Eagles, or JaMarcus Russell's QB rating.  Could be close.

 

NIKO

Buffalo at J-E-T-S JETS JETS JETS- Sanchise and the Jets rebound after a heartbreaking loss to the Dolphins in which the Jets defense looked like Walt Michaels was coaching again. Buffalo is shopping TO; good luck, maybe you can just renew Dallas’ Craig’s List ad.

Tennessee at PATRIOTS – They fell victim to a really good Denver machine that just doesn’t want to stop. These two teams are a tale of total opposites. Call it the mortgage game. Because anyone would have mortgaged their home to put money on ending up with each others records after one month! Expect to see Vince Young soon.

Chicago at FALCONS- What a night game this is. Chicago is finding their offense, and Atlanta is finding nothing is guaranteed for them this year.   

Mon- Denver at CHARGERS- Somethings got to give here. My bet is the Broncos great luck streak (No they haven't won with good luck, they just live with lady luck on their doorstep. Philip Rivers is in his prime, which is something San Diego struggles with while LT is past his. 

 

Can you do better? Lets go....you have a full 24 hour now to get involved!

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Here i GO

St. Louis at J’VIlle- MJD comes through and wins this one against the horrible St.Louis defense.
NYG at NOS- Im going with D brees and the saints because no one one can stop that offense at all.
Carolina at Tampa bay- Optimistic pick here
Baltimore at Minny- AP is near impossible to stop, if you stop him- you have BRETT FAVRE (Just sayin)
Detroit at Green Bay- If GB doesn’t win this, Packer fans revolt.
Houston at Cinci- MATT SCHAUB EFFECT- somewhere, somehow.
Cleveland at Pitt- Cleveland defense has some magic
KC at Washington- Washington is facing a horrible pass D- if they don’t win this, Jim Zorn is fired.
Arizona at Seattle- AZ wins this if their pass d- don’t suck.
Phili at Oakland- Jamarcus russell can’t throw- plain, simple, and easy to follow.
Buff at NYJ- Jets have a better D- and Leon washington can run all over the Bill D.
Tenn at NE- NE WINS, sorry tenn D
Chicago at ATL- ATL got some playa’s.
Denver at S. Diego- Sorry, Denver wins- Knowshon Moreno and Kyle orton rip apart the San Diego D.

J.J LOVE SPREADS while RAHEEM MORRIS'S PLAN FOR NFLDOMINECION IS COMING TO AN END.

by Some other guy who does not care on Oct 17, 2009 11:25 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Are we keeping track of our records?

www.bucem.com - SBNation's source for all things Buccaneer

by Buc Wild on Oct 17, 2009 11:36 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Nope

I don’t care

J.J LOVE SPREADS while RAHEEM MORRIS'S PLAN FOR NFLDOMINECION IS COMING TO AN END.

by Some other guy who does not care on Oct 17, 2009 12:27 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

This was intended for Niko

He had the totals up last week, but not this week. Just was curious

www.bucem.com - SBNation's source for all things Buccaneer

by Buc Wild on Oct 17, 2009 2:17 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

:O

I’m sorry

J.J LOVE SPREADS while RAHEEM MORRIS'S PLAN FOR NFLDOMINECION IS COMING TO AN END.

by Some other guy who does not care on Oct 17, 2009 7:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh sorry about that....

I will total them back up again for next week.

I forgot that part. But now I have it set up as a template, so it should be easier.
You are in the lead I believe.

If anyone can get production out of Gaines Adams, it will be Rod Marinelli. Good Luck Gaines and thank you Bucs for restoring my confidence that there is accountability.

by Niko Houllis on Oct 18, 2009 11:54 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Where can i bet on games?

St. Louis at J’VIlle-Hard one. Depends on if Mike sims is out. Rams D is improving if you actuallly watch games. Jaguars by less than 4 points.
NYG at NOS- Im going with D brees and the saints by less than 7 points.
Carolina at Tampa bay- Optimistic pick here
Baltimore at Minny- Minny. The officials put Ravens in flag football mode.
Detroit at Green Bay- If GB doesn’t win this, Packer fans revolt.
Houston at Cinci- Hard pick #2 Houston because of their receiver stud Johnson.
Cleveland at Pitt- Super D wins this.
KC at Washington- Hard one. Washington lost their only rock of a linemen but wins by a last minute field goal.
Arizona at Seattle- AZ wins this. Only thing they have to do is stop the pass.
Phili at Oakland- Jamarcus russell can’t throw-Their playcalling can be read by a 5 year old.
Buff at NYJ- Jets have a better D- and Leon washington can run all over the Bill D.
Tenn at NE- NE wins ugly.
Chicago at ATL- Atlanta wins because bears can’t stop tony G.
Denver at S. Diego- Denver wins- Knowshon Moreno and Kyle orton rip apart the San Diego D.

by Sportsboy on Oct 17, 2009 11:49 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Jaguars – They seem to be up and down this season so this week they should be OK.
Giants – Their Defense somehow henders Brees and Saints D shows weakness.
Panthers – Rallied to win last week to gain confidence and Bucs players are frustrated.
Vikings – Playing at a high level and Ravens Loose mental battle to frustration.
Packers – Just a better team on both sides of the ball.
Texans – Johnson burns Bengal’s Defense.
Steelers – More talent higher level of play.
Chiefs – gained confidence against Cowboys last week and Redskins are struggling.
Seahawks – With their record last year and slow start this one they have something to prove.
Eagles – Just a better team over all.
Jets – new weapon (Edwards) and their young QB gaining quailty experience produce a win.
Patriots – They are not flashy a longer but likely more than the Titans can handle.
Falcons – Better receivers, Powerful back, skillful young QB and at home.
Broncos – I am starting to believe that they are “For real”.

"In life, you'll have your back up against the wall many times. You might as well get used to It." - Coach Paul 'Bear' Bryant

by Tye on Oct 17, 2009 11:50 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

R.I.P

Sam Bradford 09

J.J LOVE SPREADS while RAHEEM MORRIS'S PLAN FOR NFLDOMINECION IS COMING TO AN END.

by Some other guy who does not care on Oct 17, 2009 12:30 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Also

I know it sounds absurd, but I picked Cleveland in an upset.

"I have come that you may have life, and life to the max"

by UNFNOLE on Oct 17, 2009 10:56 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

No way they do it again....

If anyone can get production out of Gaines Adams, it will be Rod Marinelli. Good Luck Gaines and thank you Bucs for restoring my confidence that there is accountability.

by Niko Houllis on Oct 18, 2009 11:55 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

PM me for lotto numbers

St. Louis at J’VIlle
NYG at NOS
Carolina at Tampa bay
Baltimore at Minny
Detroit at Green Bay
Houston at Cinci
Cleveland at Pitt
KC at Washington
Arizona at Seattle
Phili at Oakland
Buff at NYJ
Tenn at NE
Chicago at ATL
Denver at S. Diego

by Marky Mark's Third Nipple on Oct 18, 2009 3:16 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Jaguars
NY Giants
BUCS!!!!!!!
Ravens
Packers
Bengals
Steelers
Redskins
Cardinals
Eagles
Jets
Patriots
Falcons
Denver

by Hook85 on Oct 18, 2009 7:24 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Totals of our Picks..

Last week, UNF Nole won with 9-5, followed by BucWild who was 8-6, and Me, at 7-7. Overall, its UNFnole 18-10, BW 17-9, and Me 15-13, staying over .500 barely!

If anyone can get production out of Gaines Adams, it will be Rod Marinelli. Good Luck Gaines and thank you Bucs for restoring my confidence that there is accountability.

by Niko Houllis on Oct 18, 2009 12:03 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Correction..

BW is 19-9, not 17-9, and thus is in first place by one game…

BW 19-9
UNF 18-10
Nk 15-13

If anyone can get production out of Gaines Adams, it will be Rod Marinelli. Good Luck Gaines and thank you Bucs for restoring my confidence that there is accountability.

by Niko Houllis on Oct 18, 2009 12:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Pick

FAIL

THIS WEEK.

"I have come that you may have life, and life to the max"

by UNFNOLE on Oct 18, 2009 4:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ive got 4 right.

This is why I live as far away from Vegas as I do

If anyone can get production out of Gaines Adams, it will be Rod Marinelli. Good Luck Gaines and thank you Bucs for restoring my confidence that there is accountability.

by Niko Houllis on Oct 18, 2009 10:14 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs


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